Predicting Water Demand in a Small Mediterranean Country

Based on the Rosen's definition (Rosen 1985), anticipation "is based on having a predictive model of the system you're trying to control ...". In case of complex systems, for which analytical models either do not exist or are based on too strong assumptions, anticipation is based either on simulation models or mental models. The paper deals with one particular simulation study whose main objective is to form a part of a decision support system for water management. In particular water demand related processes and their links to economy of a small Mediterranean country are studied and simulated. Simulation models axe expressed by system dynamics and implemented by the visual simulation tool Powersim^TM.