http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=817 Publications of Auteurs Stig C. Holmberg fr 0 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=4707 In this paper we will discuss security in functional regions that are divided between two or more nations. Awareness and preparation requires some sort of warning mechanism making it possible for the people in the region to become aware and to prepare themselves for upcoming emergency situations. As both the disaster indicators and the crisis to come are both fuzzy and unknown, we will speak about Soft Early Waming Systems (SEWS). In SEWS each individual living in a region will act as a networked human anticipatory emergency sensor and actor. Our conception of such a regional security SEWS is given in the form of an idealised design called the netAgora portal. After discussing the broad lines of the netAgora design this paper will be focusing on the key role anticipatory modelling and simulation may play in a tool for developing a SEWS capacity for handling transnational complex emergencies and disasters. Mon, 14 Oct 2024 16:44:43 +0200 Thu, 17 Oct 2024 12:02:38 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=4707 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=4442 Attractive quality is an emergent and increasingly important property of all the technical products, devices, and services we are using in our daily lives. Timely and relevant technical information disseminated through an effective technical communication system is a crucial important component in building such quality. Parallel to that development, so called social media have lately become an integrated part of many peoples' e-lives. A relatively new phenomenon is that social media are also applied for technical communication. It is concluded that business firms that are successful in mastering social media for technical communication may gain considerable competitive advantages. An anticipatory approach will help in reaching that goal. Fri, 11 Oct 2024 10:43:36 +0200 Thu, 17 Oct 2024 11:51:00 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=4442 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=3184 Planning for regional security and crisis management is identified as a multi layered system suitable for anticipatory modelling and simulation. Delays and inter level dependencies, however, have manifested themselves as dominant properties of such systems. This means that an action on one level will cause surprising impacts on the others, but first after some retardation. Fortunately, with help of anticipatory modelling and computer simulation it is possible to demonstrate the effects of those complex inter level interactions in a simulation model before a decision is realised and action is taken. Wed, 11 Sep 2024 17:00:52 +0200 Thu, 10 Oct 2024 10:35:26 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=3184 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=3137 Geographical space is modelled according to main principles of systemic modelling and the anticipatory paradigm. ln this way a computer based prototype supporting spatial decisions and the management of the physical environment is established. In using the prototype with real world historical data it is demonstrated that an anticipatory approach may ameliorate spatial planning and decision making. However, before being fully operational the model has to be improved in several ways. Further, attitudes, insights, and working skills of the physical planners and decision-makers have to be improved in order to take full advantage of the anticipatory approach. Mon, 09 Sep 2024 11:37:20 +0200 Mon, 07 Oct 2024 15:22:42 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=3137 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=2288 System design is still challenging human mental and intellectual capacity. Consequently system design projects often fail. At the same time, anticipation and the anticipatory paradigm are not used in the multiplicity of design methods at hand. As a remedy, the ACADA (Anticipatory Computer Aided Design Approach) is proposed to be added to the methods repertoire. With ACADA it will be possible to test and verify the design before its implementation. ACADA builds on anticipatory modelling and computing in a formal (algorithmic) computer aided system followed by an association from the formal system and its parameters to the concrete living system, i.e. the Human Activity System (HAS) in focus. This way of intervening into living systems, or designing HAS, represents a new application of anticipatory theory, method, and tecbnique. Wed, 31 Jul 2024 12:40:51 +0200 Wed, 31 Jul 2024 12:40:59 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=2288 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=2118 Participatory Anticipatory Rule Based Socio-Spatial Simulation Systems (PARBS4) is in this paper presented as an enrerging field for shrdying questions related to the participatory development, implementation, and evaluation of corporate and governmental plans and policies. Fields like anticipatory rule based simulatiorl GIS, policy, international business, and regional economics could support and/or hinder the development of PARBS4. In reviewing those, possibilities for advancement are identified, along with some of the gaps that need to be filled. Specific combinations of such possibilities are proposed, along with the criteria that could be used to evaluate them. At last, ERASE is proposed as an instance of an international interdisciplinary research programme whose pursuit could lead to the development of PARBS4 as a cognate field. Tue, 30 Jul 2024 09:26:09 +0200 Tue, 30 Jul 2024 09:26:17 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=2118 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=1831 Anticipatory Modelling and Computing (AMC) is identified as the key difference between Popper's Bucket Theory of Science (BTS) and his Searchlight Theory of Science (STS). In analysing relevant research about intelligence and knowledge, it is found that computer based AMC may be successfully applied in order to enhance human learning and knowledge handling according to the STS paradigm. A preliminary design of such an Anticipatory Searchlight Engine (ASE) is developed. It is based on an icosahedric fractal model. A computer implementation of ASE is proven quite straightforward and feasible. However, the current one needs additional elaboration. Wed, 17 Jul 2024 09:47:23 +0200 Wed, 17 Jul 2024 09:49:29 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=1831 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=811 Anticipatory Modelling and Computing (AMC) can be seen as a Systems Science. This approach will place AMC in an Anticipatory Dynamic Web (ADW) of systems concepts. Those concepts and their relations will help guiding further learning and research concerning AMC. Further, the Anticipatory Loop will explain the cyclical character of anticipatory activities. A Multimodal approach may increase the accuracy of anticipatory predictions. At last, the design of an Anticipatory Computer Laboratory is given. Mon, 01 Jul 2024 13:59:16 +0200 Mon, 07 Oct 2024 15:30:40 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=811