http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=3186 Index terms fr 0 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=4707 In this paper we will discuss security in functional regions that are divided between two or more nations. Awareness and preparation requires some sort of warning mechanism making it possible for the people in the region to become aware and to prepare themselves for upcoming emergency situations. As both the disaster indicators and the crisis to come are both fuzzy and unknown, we will speak about Soft Early Waming Systems (SEWS). In SEWS each individual living in a region will act as a networked human anticipatory emergency sensor and actor. Our conception of such a regional security SEWS is given in the form of an idealised design called the netAgora portal. After discussing the broad lines of the netAgora design this paper will be focusing on the key role anticipatory modelling and simulation may play in a tool for developing a SEWS capacity for handling transnational complex emergencies and disasters. Mon, 14 Oct 2024 16:44:43 +0200 Thu, 17 Oct 2024 12:02:38 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=4707 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=3184 Planning for regional security and crisis management is identified as a multi layered system suitable for anticipatory modelling and simulation. Delays and inter level dependencies, however, have manifested themselves as dominant properties of such systems. This means that an action on one level will cause surprising impacts on the others, but first after some retardation. Fortunately, with help of anticipatory modelling and computer simulation it is possible to demonstrate the effects of those complex inter level interactions in a simulation model before a decision is realised and action is taken. Wed, 11 Sep 2024 17:00:52 +0200 Thu, 10 Oct 2024 10:35:26 +0200 http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=3184