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    <title>Auteurs : Giuseppe Soncin</title>
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    <description>Publications of Auteurs Giuseppe Soncin</description>
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      <title>Forecasting and Backcasting to Manage the Changes : an Anticipatory View</title>
      <link>http://popups.lib.uliege.be/1373-5411/index.php?id=1220</link>
      <description>When the current performances of a social system are reckoned as unsatisfactory and not complying with its expected evolution or if their trends appear to result in an unsustainable future, the problem consists in defining a change for reaching a better behaviour. Significant changes in the evolution are possibly obtained by discontinuities, which may be concerned with drastic changes in the policy and/or in the system structure. This paper introduces the paradigm of managing the changes by discontinuities, which we can identify and treat by computer simulation according to a heuristic approach, which involves forecasting, backcasting and optimization tools. Finally, such an approach is discussed from an anticipatory point of view. </description>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Jul 2024 15:50:46 +0200</pubDate>
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